What’s a Fact? And who can we/should we trust?

Dear readers.  Even if this is far too long for a blog—2000 plus words!–please, if you read it, respond.
Thanks.

The number one “habit of mind” that we based our work at Mission Hill, Central Park East schools on:  “how do we know what we know and how credible is it?”  With all the education talk about “evidence-based” and “data driven” reform you’d think we’d stop for a moment and ask ourselves how much school evidence/data we can truly count on?  Or even scarier—how do we know anything beyond our first-hand knowledge?

I just finished reading a blog by Diane Ravitch about Geoffrey Canada’s work in Harlem which, in turn, is based on a blog by Gary Rubenstein. Rubenstein gives facts and figures to  (1) prove Canada’s proclaimed graduation rates aren’t honest, (2) show that Canada’s success depends heavily on the incredible fiscal resources he has access to,  3) remind us that Canada built his rep without acknowledging that he kicked out two entire classes because they didn’t get good test scores, and (4) that he denies all the above.

But in a field in which I know a lot I no longer believe anyone’s data; thus  exposing Canada hardly matters!  Not even my own “facts”l  sometimes I don’t convince even me!  I know too much about my own temptation to pick and choose evidence that confirms my beliefs to assume that my allies—and enemies– aren’t similarly influenced.  At any one moment the temptation to lie, fudge or obscure negative data can be either trivial or critical. The higher the stakes that rely on the data the greater the temptation—like e.g. bonuses, reputation, livelihood, jail– to look for the best and hide the worst.  The GAO claims that 33 states cheat, but I believe it relies on an old-fashioned rule—no explicit prepping for a specific test.

So I wonder, is my nostalgia for a time when I “believed” most  “facts” just that—false memory?  Or even worse, stupidness on my part?  I suspect some of it was stupid and some naivete.  After all, I long ago noticed that the NY Times never got a story quite right if it was one I happened to know a lot about—where I was there, for example.  But I still kept/keep, sort of,  believing all the information they offer on what I don’t know much about.

I remember an anarchist friend of mine disputing my claim that people were living longer today than they had a hundred years earlier.  When asked why I believed it, I mentioned as one example, census data.  He lashed into me about my naiveté in believing government-sponsored data.  I felt sorry for him because how can one cope with a world where you cannot know who and what is “a fact”.  It surely makes even flawed democracy a utopian dream.

I’m in his boat now, and it feels awful.

Close to home, for example, I know how easy it is to fudge graduation data, drop-out data, class-size data, attendance data, GPA averages, test scores, and on and on.  I’ve even dabbled in a few of these myself.   It’s hard to get caught—unless someone is really after you or you’ve let too many people in on the secret.

Therefore should we stop collecting the stuff?  Maybe.  At least I feel comfortable saying we (1) shouldn’t be collecting new stuff with high stakes attached, and (2) should remain very skeptical—especially if, on the basis of ones personal knowledge, the data seems miraculous or peculiar.

I used to carefully scan the ranked test score reports in the NY Times.  (It began in the 1960s).  Schools were ranked in order of scores, and the story indicated both this year’s scores and last year’s.  What I soon noticed were occasional great leaps or declines—which seemed unlikely if we were actually comparing oranges to oranges.  Either something happened—such as the school having suddenly become the site of the District’s gifted program, or a new principal was no longer inflating scores as his/her predecessor did.  (She/he may not have even known they were inflated.)  I checked some and it confirmed my suspicions.  Others I had no way to confirm or deny.  Similarly, years ago I witnessed an enormous rise in attendance in our high schools following a new chancellor’s demand that we focus on attendance (“they can’t learn if they’re not there.”)  Until I realized we had simultaneously, and not secretly, changed the class period when attendance was officially taken—from first to third, I believe.

Drop-out figures?  They are hard to count and aren’t simply the difference between the number of 8th graders vs 10th or 9th vs 12th.   (Although big discrepancies in either requires some explaining.)   After all, kids leave one school for another—some of which can be verified, some not.  After all,  families move to other cities, states and countries.  Also some can be accounted for by hold-overs unless one looks into the 5 and 6 year graduating rate.  We’d need a team of detectives per school to follow-up and even then it’s problematic how much they could discover.  Except for rare drop-in visits to count a random sample of classes we are pretending schools are telling the truth.  Maybe there are more honest principals out there than one might think.  But even the few who are more careless, let’s say, are rarely “accused.”  Both the cost and the morale impact of being continually inspected for the truth would be beyond immense.  (Store-keepers, bankers, you name it  have reached the same conclusion and have invented annoying ways to keep “us” honest, but not themselves).

I could go on and on.  Every time we institute a new policy to catch wrong-doers most of us act just like our students, we put our minds to new ways to get around the new rules.  The last fiscal crisis being a good example.  It’s easier than improving the school  (economy) in ways that will show up on high stakes rank-order lists.

A wonderful friend of mine (and of many other school people) ran a high school that took all the kids others wanted to get rid of.  He never said “no” if there was a space.  And the kids he took were grateful because he really cared about them.  But after many years some reporter decided to expose him by noting the school’s relatively low attendance rate and relatively high drop-out data.  He was, the story suggested, a phony who had been getting away with this for years.  My friend soon retired and afterwards died under sad circumstances.  Of course, were it not for him other feeder schools would have had worse data.  And, I wonder. would he have served his students better had he been willing to fudge the data?

The world is a worse place when we feel that maybe we “should” lie in order to “do good.”

So where do I go with this?  I’ve reached a few possibly useful conclusions—to start with.   To lessen the reasons to lie the stakes must not be too high and to increase the reasons to tell the truth the consequences must be helpful.  (Campbell’s Law)  Then  we need  to make it easier for the truth to be naturally exposed—where lying would require too much collaboration from too many people to last long.  (That’s what I usually count on–truth will win out over time–when I hear outrageous conspiracy theories.)   That’s one reason I like small schools.  Assuming that people generally trust data that supports what they otherwise know first-hand, school size helps check lying too much.   If I say 100% graduated, hopefully some kids, teachers and parents simply know better because they know better; they remember.   And on and on. There was a story in the media some years ago about a speech in which the valedictorian  started off by asking the graduates to look round and think about their freshman classmates–those who were no longer with them, who hadn’t made it.

But, we have to rely on some “facts”–just to get out of bed each morning.  But how much further from our own self-knowledge can we rely on “the evidence”?  In short, not far.  Restoring confidence in “the facts” while retaining sufficient skepticism is a tough balancing act.  It’s what, ideally, schools,  the media, the courts (and friends) are there for.   I’ve come to believe that the first order of the day for any reformer is: figure this puzzle out.  The answers must, I fear,  finally rest in human judgment; but judgment can be trained, improved upon and what better place for doing this than schools..

Yes, smallness is one partial answer.  Openness is another.   Not getting so tangled up in our fear of intruders that we lock everything up would help.   (And then we get hacked, etc.)   Lots of opportunities for families and schools to share information—more and more family conferences to clarify the self-serving lies that even the best kids occasionally tell.  Especially if the kids are at such meetings too so they can check on misleading claims adults sometimes indulge in.  It also means tackling the “isms—above all racism.  It’s this—and all the small disrespectful acts that go with it,  that cannot help but undermine trust.

We discovered (from others, including good private schools) the value of visiting teams of respected colleagues and experts, who come and spend time on a regular basis—as we did at CPESS and on some level also at Mission Hill.  Let them look over our records, our curriculum, our assessment tools and interview a sample of parents, teachers and students.  Sit in classes.  Then at the end, after reading their reports, we enjoy an open free-for-all, followed often by a written faculty “response.”   These were NOT for high-stakes purposes, but ways of checking for useful and helpful feedback.   It helps also if the school culture rests on frequent teacher-to-teacher visits, drop-ins, etc.

How to shift the balance?  How much of it must be mandated from above?  How far “above”?  Who should have access to what?  What protections are needed from harmful or premature disclosures—or should there be none?   “What we say here, stays here” may at times be critical for healthy discussion—if so, how do we provide for that too?  We need to leave room for discussing those “white lies” that even the strictest truth-teller might – or might not – occasionally indulge in.  And we need to help young people sort these out too, without undue fear.  The value of making such “habits of mind” explicit and user friendly takes time and effort.

How might we try some of these ideas out on an experimental level?   It is probably the narrative that goes with them that will or will not help persuade others to follow—not the statistical part.  The primary tool of a democracy is persuasion.  The facts are part of trying to persuade. Generally we stick with what we have been believing until someone we trust a lot on a personal basis presents an eye-witness report that forces us to consider the possibility that “I’m wrong.”  We have to respect how hard it to persuade people they’re wrong.  For as Thomas Kuhn said—in discussing the search for scientific proof—sticking with one’s current viewpoint is not a bad idea.  If we have no commitment to our ideas we will never know whether they are right or wrong.  We need accommodate new “truths” to old ones for as long as we can.  But also it shouldn’t be too uncomfortable to switch “sides”–eventually one should be able to drop practices or beliefs that even you have begun to be skeptical about and try out a few that you used to shun.  It’s easier if you are also able to revert!   Watching good teachers caused me to reconsider some of my pedagogical certainties:  like the value of choral reading (and not just of music). Even about lining-up routines; although I’ve also questioned why we need to line-up so often!

It was even exciting when I came back from visiting a city(Minneapolis) that never lined kids up, to ask colleagues why we needed them.

I’m also, as I finish this, thinking about how the other four “habits of mind” serve as a partial check on the first.  Number 2 usually is something like this: how else might it appear, look to others?  The third asks about perceived patterns, the fourth asks “what if” and the last asks, “who cares and does it matter?”  There are probably dozens of other habits of mind that we use as we delve deeper and deeper into the usually unending search for knowledge.  But then the dilemma is: habits depend on frequent use in many different settings.

The crisis, so-called, in American education is a symptom of a “crisis of trust” which in turn poses a “crisis for democracy” writ large—as an idea itself.  If we are not to give up, we need schools, families and communities that start to carefully rebuild trust within their own four walls, and base it on losing the fear that we might, on occasion, be wrong.  No institution I know, alas, presently values being wrong less than our K-12 schools.  We might as well start there.  Maybe if we do we can reverse the trends of the past few decades or distrust at all levels of society.

Deb

The Facts: the Phony Crisis

Some of the additional facts regarding international comparisons need to become common knowledge–to back up the previous (below) blog. Also from Tienken article. (Anyone know how you can link into this?) Examples. .
2009 PISA. The US scores were better than 77% above of 65 OED nations. Better than you thought? BUT–and that’s where it gets interesting–Tienken documents why we’re comparing apples to oranges. “Because of (a) selective sampling on the part of some countries, (b) (the effect of) negotiating questions to align with a country curriculum sequence, and (c) lower overall child poverty in the United States” even that’s deceptive. Because, every country that outranked us had substantially lower poverty rates. If controlled for poverty we’d “be at the top.” Even without such “refinements” in fact 4th graders in the US ranked 7th out of 53 in 2011 science tests. And Mass., despite 15% poverty (vs 3% in Finland–but low for the US)) — was in 2nd and 5th place internationally on most test comparisons. So we turned, of course, not to Mass. (which at the time had no state-wide testing) but to Texas to find a solution? Thus the “Texas miracle”. Will unequivocal lies, disguised as “just the facts”, ever fade away?

In fact, of course, while tearing up our public schools and teachers, we have more than ignored the conditions of life for those in poverty–which have been declining in virtually every measurable way–more or less at the same time that we discovered the schooling crisis. And note: “we” simultaneously discovered that more money, lower class sizes, more art and music, better facilities, etc were a wasteful use of public funds–for poor children (the rich already have those). So much for worrying about the “gap”! It was an excuse from the start and remains one today. The everyday life gap between poor kids–white, back, Latino, et al–and middle and wealthy kids is what is shameful. And no, it’s not true that previous immigrants overcame such poverty and closed these educational gaps without first solving the money gap–through the rise of unions, welfare state policies, WWII, the GI Bill and more. It’s racism that kept African-Americans from catching up–and it’s still with us.

There is a crisis–in short–but not the one we’re focused on.

Yes, KIPPer friend Elliott, knowledge is powerful.

Read Tienken’s article in Kappa Delta Pi Record, April-June 20013 and Christopher Tienken’s new book with Dan Orlich, The School Reform Landscape: Fraud, Myth and Lies for more.` And David Berliner’s old book–The Manufactured Crisis needs rereading.

Lies, Lies and so on….

I cant get used to it! Skeptic that I am, the lies astound even me.
Thank you Christopher Tienken for providing us with the Gerald Bracey info we always counted on! Everyone–get hold of his article in Kappa Delta Pi Record, current April-June issue, “For the Record: Conclusions from PISA and TIMSS Testing.”
Aside from his amazing conclusions (if it’s test scores that make a nation great we’ve already won). Plus he has some interesting little facts about Shanghai and HongKing, as well as how nations have a voice in which test items to include and exclude, and picking the sample.
Why, Tienken wonders, does the USA do such a poor job on excluding items that are not taught at that level in US schools?
Answer: Because we’ve been led for many years by folks who want us to look bad.

They can’t declare victory–even on their test score terms–because it would kill off their real purpose. They are enemies of public institutions of all sorts and have chosen education as one of their major targets. Yes, “they”. International test scores–alas–have been their vehicle for calling it a crisis for all of America. Since I’m not a fan of test scores as good or bad news, I haven’t paid attention once Bracey left us–how I miss him! Or why wasn’t I noticing others who were saying this??

The stories we’ve been told are phony; yes yes yes. Just plain phony data. They have managed to take child poverty off the public table as a mere “excuse”. Their aim: to bash unionized teachers and public schools while at one and the same time lining their pockets, centralizing power in forms they can control, dumbing down our perception of our fellow citizens as an excuse for lowering wages, and lessening the power of one of the few remaining strong unions in the land as a source of opposition and an alternate view of possibilities. How do we get the word out–that, in fact, we do well on PISA and TIMSS. Are you, out there, as surprised by this information as I am??? Shame on me. (If Mass. was a nation they’d be number one–even before MCAS and all that! There was no crisis.)

Rumpelstiltskin as Policy

There she was–ordered by the King to turn straw into gold within 24 hours…as I recall. Terrified she agreed to give up her first born child to Rumpelstiltskin in return for his promise to do so. But, when the time came she recognized that she couldn’t go through with it… So she cheated and discovered his name–and was free at last.

Now children are neither straw nor gold (see previous blog) but the deal we’re making with the devil bears similar risks–inch by inch the day of Rumpelstiltskin’s final victory gets closer and closer. But it’s natural to put off looking at the future for survival in the present. It’s even healthy. If… if we use the time to mobilize ourselves intellectually, morally and politically to when we can say “no” without all losing our heads to the tyrant King.

A bit too whimsical a comparison perhaps—but alas, we have less to lose (no one is threatening us with our lives–just our jobs) and there is no Rumpelstiltskin out there to rescue us until we discover the secret of his name. We have to figure this out ourselves.

But coming back from Boston where I spent time celebrating Eleanor Duckworth with her many fans – talking and demonstrating the “having of wonderful ideas,” and attending an inspiring memorial service for a wonderful friend and his many friends and family–Allen Graubard. His best known book (an old one), Free the Children, is worth a reread. The two events meshed – and I drove home on a cloud of joy at two people’s indomitable spirit – who managed to do honest and important work while remaining authentic people with incredible integrity and loved by many. And Eleanor keeps going and going creating for us all the insights we need to hold on to truly high expectations. Go to Critical Explorers to learn more about her current work.

The Search for Gold

Dear friends,

Perhaps it’s a good thing that we keep looking for someone, somewhere who has created the utopia we’e dreaming about. In my lifetime I’ve lived through a number of grandiose claims: Russian communism (for some Fascism), various third world utopias, then Cuba, and of course, China. And many in-between. Ditto for schools. We keep reinventing “success” rather than exploring the history of our past successes. Instead we let them die for lack of support whenever a new fad rolls in.

Even the ones–the schools– I co-created with friends young and old in NYC and Boston were always short of what I hoped for. Having been through it personally I laugh when others are heralded not because they don’t “deserve” it but they deserve it usually for every reason except the one acclaimed: their high test scores or graduation rate, etc Like Obama’s peace prize, I got a MacArthur for the success of our CPESS secondary school in NYC before it had anything but 7th graders. I appreciated it because it gave me just the extra leeway I needed to actually become a 7th-12th grade success–until finally it too succumbed approximately a decade after I moved on. But it enabled me to go from being a lowly elementary head teacher to a very wise and renowned leader of Education–even a “genius”.

I thought about this as I was reading David Kirp’s latest book: “Improbable Scholars”–the success story of a the Union, New Jersey school district, relying on no miracles or gimmicks, just nurturing and protecting good teaching and good school mastering.

I’m halfway through and I half believe it. Especially since in January 1989 David believed me when he wrote a piece entitled BadAss Principal for Mother Jones magazine. Actually its about 3 principals: Badass Joe Clark, George McKenna and Deborah Meier. They made a movie about Joe, called Lean On Me.

He ends his well-baanced piece with the following: “Perhaps Deborah Meier would be eaten alive in the Pattersons of this world. But maybe she’s onto something….better the intimate enclave of learning than either the plantation of fear or the factory of love.”

I know, I know…but is it “replicable,” can we “scale it up” to serve millions? The answer is yes and no. Remember, it wasn’t even strong enough to survive the next decade. If we wanted to we could make it easier, rather than harder, for others to explicate, if not replicate, their own “intimate” settings in which young and old get love with learning. More, David, after I finish your book. Your words 23 years ago made a difference. Let me repeat what you said then about our work at CPESS: “we might be onto something.” There have now been enough of “us” to convince me that it’s the right track to follow–and that the paths our “followers” will take will never be identical, but they will off and on meet and comfortably recognize each other’s dreams.

And the “fad” this time may be more damaging, because Joe Clark’s work might be a closer description than CPESS of the dream that the so-called corporate reformers have in mind.

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“It’s our democracy, stupid.”

Friends,

The continued existence of democracy, much less an even stronger one, is what is in a crisis. The “school crisis”, along with many others, is a distraction. Just a symptom of the more serious crisis we face. Schools are simply one of our many institutions that are under attack. The very “idea” of democracy is being undermined over and over again–and its not easy for me to see how we can put humpty-dumpty together again. Because it’s democracy that is the real basis for the idea of accountability! “Throw the rascals out” is where it all begins. But “accountability” is now being used as a tool to undermine democracy!

The democracy we have experienced for several hundred years was pretty thin at it’s start, and began slowly to take on some flesh—as more and more of us were included, viewed as members of “the ruling class” with a right to make decisions about our future. But on every front we’re losing ground: voting? Clearly between gerrymandering and media consolidation and huge spending by rich individuals, corporations and foundations (so-called) the decks are heavily stacked against “us”. For perhaps the first (or 2nd?) time in our history the people’s vote for Congress is not reflected in who got elected to represent us. The number of low-income and black citizens who are now in jail make a mockery of democracy–and deprive millions of their right to vote. And the campaign to restrict voting further continues. (No country comes close to having as many of its people in prison!) And on and on.

I remember….when people said that our “exceptionalism” was due to our unusually large middle class, our social and class mobility, etc. These are not true anymore. We are lower on the international lists of mobility, care for children, income and wealth inequality than almost all OECD countries. Thank god for Russia and Mexico–who did even worse. In comparison, US schools look pretty good!!!!

But the same is true no matter what and where we look. Public libraries are endangered, local Post Offices closed, local school boards eliminated or increasingly irrelevant (In 1940 we had 200,000 such boards, today we have maybe 10,000–and many more students ). We want college degrees for “all”–but tuitions keep rising higher and higher, and now interest rates on tuition loans are increasing too!

Taxes are more unequal–and less onerous for the rich than they have been since before the New Deal–80 years ago. Fear, the enemy of democracy as FDR noted, is rampant. Secure pensions and social security seem precarious. The “government” thus cannot be “trusted” to hold our money safe for our future, claim the democracy enemies.

And the one major “balancing power” –labor unions–haven’t been so weak since I was a child.

I’ve barely covered a small part of what’s in store for us. And those behind these developments are moving as fast as they can–so that unraveling them becomes harder and harder to imagine. I hesitated to write this down–because it can paralyze us if it’s true. But it mustn’t.

Who is to stop this assault? I know, us.

Nel Nodding to the Rescue

Another book! I’ll be writing about this one many many times. It’s title: Education and Democracy in the 2lst Century. The author, Nel Noddings. I’ve highlighted page after page, sentence by sentence. So you really just have to read it from page one to the end. I’m writing now to encourage a discussion about the meat of her argument. We could start by “arguing” over chapters one and two!! I don’t have to rush into print writing a book on the topic–which I keep wanting to do. Instead we have Nel’s who has already written it to wrestle with.

It’s Teachers College Press, just off the presses, and only 157 pages long, and very readable.